EMAIL THIS PAGE       PRINT       RSS      

Markets and The Human Condition

David Brooks is one of my favorite Op-Ed writers for the New York Times. True, he can be a little hyper-conservative, but at least he’s hyper-conservative in the New York Times, which polls recently proved was not read by real Americans, just US citizens living in non-American places, like New York. So, it all balances out.

On Tuesday he wrote a column about the markets and behavior. As I read it, I kept thinking about the fall. I mean THE FALL. The red fruit on the tree fall, not the golden leaves on the ground fall. The event which disconnected us from God and, at the same time, from Reality. We moved into dark caves of self-centeredness, more connected to our own demanding selves than the hopes and needs of others. Our personal perspectives permanently skewed by a need to be in control.

Brooks notes that no one seemed to see the crash of the financial world coming. Even Allan Greenspan, testifying before congress last week, remarked that “I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organizations, especially banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and equity in the firms.”  If you can’t trust self-interest, just what can you trust!?

But what Adam Smith, Ronald Reagan, George W Bush and Allan Greenspan all assumed was that self-interest creates self-governance. Get rid of rules/laws that hold back the markets. Deregulate! People are not going to take on so much risk that they could lose everything. They won’t buy stocks that are over-priced, or homes they can’t really afford, or . . . . But, if you take a look around, you might notice that they will drive too fast. They often drink too much. They talk when they should not and they have a strange tendency to see things in their own way, not in the way that could be called “reality.” Our view is skewed. The fall is real.

Brooks notes the work of economist Nassim Taleb, who wrote two books, “Fooled by Randomness” (2004) and “The Black Swan” (2007). Both look carefully at the role of the human in the life of the markets. Taleb is a man who recognizes that humans don’t self-regulate well.  On page 232 in “Fooled by Randomness,” he notes that in stock trading, “most of us know pretty well how we should behave. It is the execution that is the problem, not the absence of knowledge.” When you really look at it, self-regulation, a basic tenet in market deregulation, goes against our very nature. So when faced with “open markets” and “deregulation,” humans act the same way they drive. Too fast, but with a strong self-belief that they are in control.

I don’t know about you, but it sounds like a fallen world. Just last night, late for a gathering at a friend’s home, I pushed my little Subaru Outback to the limit. Careening around corners and opening up on wet-leafed straight-aways, I was consumed by the need to be on time. Why? Well . . . not really a good reason, to be honest. In a sense, the same kind of thing happens when we take out that loan on our equity for a new kitchen, or when Washington Mutual’s CEO produced the analyst’s demands by jumping head first into the mortgage market. “Everyone is doing this. I can handle it. I need to do this. I’ll know when I should slow down.” The human condition.

So when you see those guys running AIG on the news this week, or the dude who ran the hedge fund into the ground and lost a Union’s Retirement Fund, you may have a good reason to be angry. But don’t forget that they suffer from the same condition that impacts all of us. It just so happens that their excesses have a much greater impact than our own. At least this time. Those that broke the law can and should be punished, AND they really aren’t that different from you and I. Human condition trumps self-regulation every time.

Comments

Enjoying your blog Mark! It's fun to read your perspective and I believe I share it.

Hi Mark,
I enjoyed your article. David Brooks is also a favorite of mine, even though I vote the other way. And I have one of Taleb's books on my table right now. He demonstrates the limits of human arrogance.

Just one criticism--check Genesis 3 and find that there was no "red fruit" in Eden, or none that we know about. Fruit, but not red fruit.

However, the results of the Fall are very much in evidence in this financial mess, just as you suggest.

Thanks,
-B

Thanks, Barry! Really appreciate your comment. A agree, I think Taleb has an amazing grasp on human issues.

Guess I was taking a little "poetic license" with the red fruit thing. : )

Mark,

I enjoy your style of writing, you drop these thought bombs and then do not develop them. You go into a fall of the world thought and then begin to talk about your driving to a get together.

You talk about how Washington Mutual had a ceo who dove into the mutual fund market but do not talk about how Barney Frank pushed his agenda through congress when "Bush" said not a good idea this will have bad results. But Frank wanted lower income people who do not have the ability to pay for a 300,000 home.

If you think the open market or capitalism is impure and not a good system then I am looking forward to future blogs when the country makes all of the decisions for us. Socialism is on the doorstep and it is mind boggling how so many smart, faith believing people might let it in.

I would personally enjoy a blog about how socialism is coming and how it will be ok. Include something about how God rewards those who do nothing, he rewards the lazy. Remember not the sick or the those who are incapable of and honest days work but the lazy. Include something like how other countries who practice socialism have perfect unity.

The world feels like it has tipped and the media wants us to believe it has fallen, enact socialism and the united states of America will fall. My generation seems to not grasp that, my brother Ben included who is brilliant.

all the best,

skm

Wow, SKM, while your sarcasm is a little overwhelming, I will try to appreciate your point. One of the things I'm learning about blogging is how deep to go. If I tried to address all the issues you pointed out, I'm afraid I would write a book! But I think you are correct about a blog on socialism. I would like to do something like that by next week. Hopefully, I can take a little more constructive of a tone and deal with some issues. I'll try! Thanks again for your thoughts. Please let me know what you think about my next post.

That's a mature response, Mark, and I will try to follow your spirit.

The old spiritual says that a lot of people talkin' about heaven aren't going there; in a similar way, a lot of people talking about socialism are simply waving the latest political flag without knowing what socialism is. Many elements of our government have some socialistic elements and have had them for decades. In spite of that, the nation still stands, contrary to predictions it will soon die on the spot.

Mark, I would welcome your take on socialism or elements of it. At some point we might also discuss that America is not a democracy ( it's a republic), and that democracy might not be the heavenly design. I note that Jesus will rule as a King.

My own view is that God has not registered with either of our major parties.

-Barry

Greetings, Barry!

Sorry for the delay in getting back to you. Been a crazy week. I'm going to try to work out something on socialism this week. Would love to dialogue with you on it. A really interesting issue, especially with today's political climate.

I agree with your note about God's party affiliation. A great reminder on the Monday before the big Tuesday!

In Creating Caring and Capable Boards, Katherine Tyler Scott does an excellent job delineating the challenge of taking self interest into account as a steward of public interest. A challenge many board members failed in their responsibility to ensure the success of shareholders (including people impacted by the failure of pension funds). I sometimes wonder if this crisis is less connected to the design of the system, than to the "out of this world" greed and the luxury spending of the economic elite fueled by an absence of community values; creating a death spiral of irresponsibility.

Thanks for the heads up on Scott. I need to look at her work, Paul. Your phrase, "death spiral of irresponsibility" really nails it. As Taleb point out, these things take on a life of their own.

Mark,

Thanks for your post, but I can't help but be amazed at the amount of economic ignorance portrayed by otherwise intelligent people.

Brooks notes that no one seemed to see the crash of the financial world coming.

That's just poor reporting. People saw this coming and they warned about this in detail.
http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=865541&p=1
http://mises.org/story/3128
http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig9/recession-reader.html

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhB_0yeHm8U
Neil Cavuto @4:45: "Congressman, you did warn about a lot of this stuff, so my hat's off to you."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_Mh_xpJ_Jc
Neil Cavuto @beginning: "Give this man this due. Back then, in the height of that bubble, in the height of that party, he did. Ron Paul knew and said then that something was wrong with our financial system a long time ago."
He then interviews Ron Paul about Greenspan's comments.

Get rid of rules/laws that hold back the markets. Deregulate!

Do you honestly know how silly it sounds to claim that the master of the market, the man controlling the strings of an unfree market (Greenspan) is in favor of a free market? If that were the case, his job would not exist.

I would encourage you to balance out your NYTimes Op-Ed reading with some analysis by people who are a little better informed:
http://www.lewrockwell.com/reisman/reisman45.html
http://www.lewrockwell.com/north/north657.html

And I also encourage a viewing of this highly educational video:
"Money, Banking, and the Federal Reserve"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYZM58dulPE

Greetings, Brandon!

Sorry for the delay in my response. Trying to catch up. Anyway, I'm not really sure how to respond to your post. On the one hand, you seem so completely sure of yourself that you likely are not very open to input. On the other, you might just be an insecure person who throws comments around lightly. I would like to encourage you to take a moment before you post to think about what you are writing and what you want to communicate. Hard to take someone seriously who flippantly writes off others as "silly" or "ignorant." I will do my best to write something that is thoughtful and heart-felt, please do the same!

Mark,

My use of the words "silly" and "ignorant" were not flippant. I carefully chose them because they summarize what I intended to communicate. They were not directed at you personally, but to the specific ideas you portrayed in your post. Thanks.

Mark! I love your blog. And in reading through the comments here, I'm kind of chuffed to know we share some of the same Conversant Life critics :-) See you Tuesday at the NYC CL Bloggers gathering?

»  Become a Fan or Friend of this Blogger
About
Mark has been serving in higher education for over 15 years. He teaches business at Nyack College, where he is also Dean of Community Life. He has consulted in thirty countries, and serves on the Board of the International Arts Movement.


Media